Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.469208 0.514861 0.564733 0.623568 0.691477 0.767884 0.861044
2025-10-05 0.405777 0.470645 0.547480 0.646599 0.773190 0.932499 1.153292
2025-10-12 0.367501 0.442108 0.535426 0.663618 0.840033 1.082293 1.455884
2025-10-19 0.335171 0.414124 0.516952 0.665175 0.881618 1.201170 1.742322
2025-10-26 0.304696 0.384026 0.490538 0.649880 0.893774 1.275948 1.977607
2025-11-02 0.279200 0.357587 0.465476 0.631937 0.897135 1.334956 2.200392
2025-11-09 0.259127 0.336574 0.445528 0.618346 0.903945 1.399157 2.451350
2025-11-16 0.242363 0.318711 0.428220 0.606289 0.910596 1.463106 2.722712
2025-11-23 0.228304 0.303590 0.413494 0.596338 0.918776 1.530638 3.026962
2025-11-30 0.221195 0.298026 0.412554 0.608405 0.967326 1.687321 3.618125
2025-12-07 0.211436 0.287766 0.403395 0.605437 0.987236 1.788771 4.114995
2025-12-14 0.202078 0.277483 0.393354 0.599761 1.000843 1.879255 4.631665
2025-12-21 0.189988 0.262627 0.375458 0.579425 0.984383 1.901323 4.960052
2025-12-28 0.187181 0.262074 0.380845 0.601782 1.059542 2.168701 6.399908
2026-01-04 0.183250 0.259435 0.382470 0.617231 1.122825 2.428381 8.130734
2026-01-11 0.177205 0.253000 0.377117 0.618641 1.154885 2.612943 9.774852
2026-01-18 0.169154 0.242857 0.364662 0.604832 1.149216 2.683462 10.897335
2026-01-25 0.161325 0.232703 0.351584 0.588616 1.135478 2.725591 11.931854
2026-02-01 0.154657 0.224170 0.340881 0.576320 1.129758 2.793908 13.314216
2026-02-08 0.148650 0.216474 0.331241 0.565403 1.126051 2.869437 14.955414
2026-02-15 0.143312 0.209672 0.322841 0.556386 1.126063 2.959881 17.009414
2026-02-22 0.141118 0.208089 0.323811 0.567320 1.180737 3.280350 22.759181
2026-03-01 0.137196 0.203365 0.318711 0.564631 1.197908 3.460985 27.777764